Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 65.86% ( | 19.65% ( | 14.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( | 42.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( | 64.94% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( | 12.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.39% ( | 37.6% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.36% | 41.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.88% | 78.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-0 @ 11.23% 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 4-0 @ 4.18% ( 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.49% Total : 65.85% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 1% Total : 19.65% | 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.48% |