Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Elche
Espanyol logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Levante logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica
Real Valladolid logo

Villarreal
1 - 2
Valladolid

Capoue (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Amallah (2'), El Yamiq (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Valladolid
65.86% (0.142 0.14)19.65% (-0.07 -0.07)14.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (0.164 0.16)42.54% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (0.161 0.16)64.94% (-0.16 -0.16)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)12.07% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (0.184 0.18)37.6% (-0.184 -0.18)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36%41.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88%78.12%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 65.85%
    Real Valladolid 14.48%
    Draw 19.65%
VillarrealDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 11.23%
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 65.85%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.48%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valladolid

Villarreal
89.6%
Draw
2.1%
Real Valladolid
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 6pm
May 13, 2021 6pm
Valladolid
0-2
Villarreal

El Yamiq (30'), Kiko (76'), Guardiola (88')
Moreno (68'), Capoue (90+1')
Capoue (88')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valladolid
Chukwueze (21'), Torres (37')
Gaspar (90+1')

Fernandez (34'), Alcaraz (52'), Garcia Carnero (71')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-1
Villarreal
Alcaraz (15')
Moyano (58'), Toni (58'), Garcia (78')
Moreno (54')
Albiol (41'), Iborra (60'), Pena (70')
Sep 21, 2019 12pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valladolid
Cazorla (77' pen.), Ontiveros (89')
Quintilla (40'), Iborra (45')

Barba (60')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!