La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 9, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
3 - 3
Mallorca

Perez (33'), Amallah (68'), Monchu (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muriqi (53', 90+4' pen.), Morlanes (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Osasuna
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Mallorca
45.77% ( -0.02)	27.4% ( 0.02)	26.82% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.4% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.48% (

-0.05)

58.51% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

-0.04)

79.09% (

0.04)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

-0.03)

25.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

-0.05)

60.39% (

0.05)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.31% (

-0.03)

37.68% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.54% (

-0.02)

74.46% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 45.77%

Mallorca 26.82%

Draw 27.4%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.77%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.82%