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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Mallorca

De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nastasic (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Mallorca

Mallorca come into the fixture with confidence having won consecutive games, and their fine record versus Atletico should give encouragement. Atletico will be the favourites but they have flattered to deceive on many occasions this season, and with the season winding down without much to play for, this could be an awkward tie for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
69.3% (-0.872 -0.87) 19.89% (0.237 0.24) 10.81% (0.638 0.64)
Both teams to score 39.96% (1.397 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.661 0.66)51.97% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.568 0.57)73.71% (-0.565 -0.56)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)13.94% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.59% (-0.117 -0.12)41.4% (0.118 0.12)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.43% (1.656 1.66)53.57% (-1.655 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.99% (1.009 1.01)87.01% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.29%
    Mallorca 10.81%
    Draw 19.89%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 14.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 14.49% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.175 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.69% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 69.29%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.81%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
83.2%
Draw
12.4%
Mallorca
4.4%
113
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 14
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (16')

Molina (15')
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
gameweek 6
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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