La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 1
Mallorca

De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nastasic (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
69.3% ( -0.87)	19.89% ( 0.24)	10.81% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 39.96% (

1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.02% (

0.66)

51.97% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.28% (

0.57)

73.71% (

-0.56)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.06% (

-0.06)

13.94% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.59% (

-0.12)

41.4% (

0.12)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.43% (

1.66)

53.57% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.99% (

1.01)

87.01% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 69.29%

Mallorca 10.81%

Draw 19.89%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.19% Total : 69.29%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.89%	0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.81%