La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 1
Valladolid

Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Larin (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 0-2 Valencia
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Valladolid
59.73% ( -0.15)	22.29% ( 0)	17.98% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.37% (

0.2)

47.63% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.17% (

0.18)

69.83% (

-0.19)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44% (

0.02)

15.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5% (

0.03)

44.49% (

-0.04)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

0.28)

40.23% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.25)

76.86% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Valencia 59.72%

Real Valladolid 17.98%

Draw 22.29%

Valencia	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.72%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.98%