La Liga
Gameweek
35
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-
Diego Lopez
33'
Valencia vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F45%2Feden-hazard.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F19%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F11%2Frmaliv_4.JPG)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result
Valencia
31.95%
▼
(-0.73)
Draw
24.49%
▲
(+0.10)
Real Madrid
43.57%
▲
(+0.63)
Both Teams to Score:
58.41%
▼
(-0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.68%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 2.5
44.31%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 3.5
33.31%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 3.5
66.69%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 4.5
17.02%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 4.5
82.98%
▲
(+0.51)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5
73.43%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 0.5
26.57%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 1.5
38.21%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 1.5
61.79%
▲
(+1.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
79.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
20.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
47.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
52.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Valencia
31.95%
Draw
24.48%
Real Madrid
43.57%
Valencia
2-1
@
7.58%
▼
(-0.12)
1-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.95%
1-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.95%
Draw
1-1
@
11.43%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.48%
2-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.48%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
9.07%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.57%
0-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.57%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
17
-
Marco Asensio
52'
-
Vinicius Junior
54'
Supercopa de Espana
-
Karim Benzema
39'
-
Samuel Lino
46'
La Liga
Gameweek
20
-
Casemiro
14'
-
Eder Militao
26'
-
Karim Benzema
43'
-
Vinicius Junior
52'
-
Vinicius Junior
61'
-
Ferland Mendy
75'
-
Karim Benzema
88'
-
Cristiano Piccini
51'
-
Yunus Musah
58'
-
Goncalo Guedes
76'
-
Denis Cheryshev
84'
La Liga
Gameweek
5
-
Gabriel Paulista
39'
-
Hugo Duro
66'
-
Casemiro
45'+4'
-
Nacho
56'
-
Rodrygo
81'
-
Vinicius Junior
86'
-
Karim Benzema
88'
-
Vinicius Junior
90'+2'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
90'+3'
La Liga
Gameweek
23
-
Karim Benzema
12'
-
Toni Kroos
42'
-
Goncalo Guedes
27'
-
Uros Racic
44'
-
Thierry Correia
46'
La Liga
Gameweek
9
-
Carlos Soler
35'
-
Uros Racic
41'
-
Carlos Soler
41'
-
Raphael Varane
43'
-
Carlos Soler
54'
-
Carlos Soler
63'
-
Hugo Guillamon
84'
-
Jaume Domenech
86'
-
Karim Benzema
23'
-
Marcelo
52'
-
Sergio Ramos
62'