La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Lopez (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior gestures towards a fan on May 21, 2023

Vinicius Junior: 'Racism is normal in La Liga'

Vinicius Junior says that "racism is normal in La Liga" after suffering racist abuse in Real Madrid's 1-0 defeat to Valencia.

May 21, 23:04

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, May 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
31.95% ( -0.72)	24.49% ( 0.1)	43.57% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 58.41% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

-0.7)

44.31% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

-0.68)

66.69% (

0.69)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

-0.78)

26.57% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

-1.05)

61.79% (

1.05)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.01)

20.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

-0.02)

52.92% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Valencia 31.95%

Real Madrid 43.57%

Draw 24.48%

Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.95%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.57%