Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
| 45% ( | 27.41% ( | 27.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.83% ( | 58.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( | 78.82% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( | 25.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( | 36.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.36% ( | 73.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.59% |