La Liga Gameweek 33
Valencia
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal
  • Samuel Lino 72' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 62'

Valencia vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 1.00pm
Cadiz 2 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Samuel Lino

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Villarreal 3 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Valencia 35.28% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 25.81% ▲ (+0.80)
Villarreal 38.89% ▼ (-0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.76% ▼ (-2.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.54% ▼ (-3.59)
Under 2.5 49.45% ▲ (+3.58)
Over 3.5 28.5% ▼ (-3.31)
Under 3.5 71.49% ▲ (+3.30)
Over 4.5 13.65% ▼ (-2.30)
Under 4.5 86.34% ▲ (+2.29)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 72.98% ▼ (-1.77)
Under 0.5 27.01% ▲ (+1.76)
Over 1.5 37.63% ▼ (-2.37)
Under 1.5 62.36% ▲ (+2.36)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 75.02% ▼ (-1.96)
Under 0.5 24.97% ▲ (+1.95)
Over 1.5 40.37% ▼ (-2.79)
Under 1.5 59.62% ▲ (+2.79)

Score analysis

Valencia 35.28%
Draw 25.8%
Villarreal 38.89%
Valencia
1-0 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.83)
2-1 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.30)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.50)
0-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.94)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.82)
1-2 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.30)
0-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.34)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.19)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.89%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 15
Villarreal
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
Valencia
  • Samuel Chukwueze 45' goal
  • Juan Foyth 88' goal
  • goal Edinson Cavani 21'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Villarreal
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Valencia
  • Arnaut Danjuma 10' goal
  • Arnaut Danjuma 17' goal
  • Manu Trigueros 75' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eray Comert 9'
  • yellowcard Maranhao 40'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 66'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Valencia
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Villarreal
  • Hugo Guillamon 43' goal
  • Hugo Guillamon 47' yellowcard
  • Omar Alderete 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 77' goal
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 53'
  • yellowcard Manu Trigueros 73'
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 75'
  • yellowcard Samuel Chukwueze 79'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Valencia
Mar 5, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Villarreal
  • Uros Racic 14' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 23' yellowcard
  • Jose Gaya 39' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 67' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 86' goal
  • Goncalo Guedes 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Foyth 36'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 40'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 42'
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 85'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Villarreal
Oct 18, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
Valencia
  • Paco Alcacer 6' goal
  • Vicente Iborra 12' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Pedraza 52' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 69' goal
  • Takefusa Kubo 72' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 37'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 84'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Villarreal
Jun 28, 2020 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Valencia
  • Paco Alcacer 14' goal
  • Gerard Moreno 44' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Sanmartin 43'
  • yellowcard Jaume Costa 50'

Form Data

Cadiz 2 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 2 - 1 Valladolid
Elche 0 - 2 Valencia
Valencia 0 - 2 Sevilla
Almeria 2 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal 3 - 1 Celta Vigo
Villarreal 4 - 2 Espanyol
Sevilla 2 - 1 Villarreal
Villarreal 1 - 2 Valladolid
Real Madrid 2 - 3 Villarreal
Villarreal 2 - 0 Real Sociedad