Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 39.74% ( | 24.83% ( | 35.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% ( | 44.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( | 67.34% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( | 22.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( | 56.13% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( | 24.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( | 59.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.74% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.43% |