La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Nicolas Jackson 2' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 12' goal
  • Ramon Terrats 70' goal
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 29'

Villarreal vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2023 6.30pm
Villarreal 4 - 2 Espanyol
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2023 9.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Iago Aspas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 56.19% (-0.07)
Draw 22.37% (+0.07)
Celta Vigo 21.43% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.95% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.83% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 43.16% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 34.43% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 65.56% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 17.84% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 82.15% (+0.24)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 84.8% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 15.19% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 56.18% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 43.82% (+0.25)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 65.97% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 34.02% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 29.29% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 70.7% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Villarreal 56.19%
Draw 22.37%
Celta Vigo 21.43%
Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.74% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 9.18% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.17% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.37%
Celta Vigo
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.57% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 21.43%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 68' goal
  • goal Gerard Moreno 15'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vicente Iborra 34' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 64' goal
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Santi Mina 17' yellowcard
  • Brais Mendez 72' goal
  • goal Alberto Moreno 27'
  • yellowcard Juan Foyth 45'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 5.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Pervis Estupinan 5' yellowcard
  • Moi Gomez 25' goal
  • Sergio Asenjo 33' yellowcard
  • Geronimo Rulli 45'+4' redcard
  • Mario Gaspar 45'+7' redcard
  • Gerard Moreno 87' goal
  • Yeremi Pino 89' yellowcard
  • goal Santi Mina 19'
  • goal Santi Mina 34'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 44'
  • goal Brais Mendez 45'+3'
  • goal Augusto Solari 57'
  • yellowcard Facundo Ferreyra 79'
  • redcard Facundo Ferreyra 88'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2021 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT
  • Brais Mendez 58' yellowcard
  • goal Gerard Moreno 5'
  • goal Moi Gomez 14'
  • goal Dani Parejo 19'
  • goal Fernando Nino 31'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Jun 13, 2020 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Pape Cheikh Diop 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vicente Iborra 37'
  • goal Manu Trigueros 90'+2'