Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
| 54.87% ( | 25.17% ( | 19.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( | 56.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( | 77.22% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( | 20.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( | 52.93% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.04% ( | 42.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% ( | 79.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% ( 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-2 @ 3.95% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.96% |