La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

May 4, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
3 - 2
Espanyol

Gil (22'), Ocampos (69' pen.), Gueye (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rekik (29' og.), Puado (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, April 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Espanyol
58.82% ( 0.68)	22.8% ( -0.29)	18.37% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.6)

49.17% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.54)

71.24% (

-0.54)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

0.45)

16.39% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.97% (

0.8)

46.03% (

-0.8)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

-0.1)

40.69% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

-0.09)

77.28% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 58.82%

Espanyol 18.37%

Draw 22.8%

Sevilla	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.82%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.8%	0-1 @ 6% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.37%