Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.