Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
55.13% ( -0.09) | 25.25% ( 0.05) | 19.62% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.16% ( -0.11) | 56.84% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.23% ( -0.09) | 77.77% ( 0.09) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.08) | 20.64% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% ( -0.13) | 53.2% ( 0.13) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.26% ( -0.01) | 43.74% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.09% ( -0.01) | 79.91% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.11% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |