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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Sancet (72'), Alvarez (90'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Lamela (37'), Acuna (45'), Ocampos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

Both sides enter Thursday's showdown in strong form, so we expect Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla to dish up a closely-fought battle as they look to continue their respective hot streaks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
55.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 25.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 19.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.11 -0.11)56.84% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.087 -0.09)77.77% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)20.64% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (-0.132 -0.13)53.2% (0.135 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)43.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)79.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.11%
    Sevilla 19.62%
    Draw 25.24%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 14.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.62%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
37.3%
Draw
26.7%
Sevilla
36.0%
75
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Torres (4')
Isco (38')
Vesga (73')
May 22, 2022 9pm
gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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