Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 55.13% ( | 25.25% ( | 19.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% ( | 56.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( | 77.77% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( | 20.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( | 53.2% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.26% ( | 43.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.09% ( | 79.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.11% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-2 @ 3.84% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 2-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.62% |