La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
2 - 4
Barcelona

Puado (73'), Joselu (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Lewandowski (11', 40'), Balde (20'), Kounde (53')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 3-2 Espanyol
Thursday, May 4 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Osasuna
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.56%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Barcelona
15.5% ( -0.02)	22.86% ( 0.02)	61.64% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 43.89% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19% (

-0.12)

53.81% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72% (

-0.1)

75.28% (

0.1)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.91% (

-0.1)

47.08% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.45% (

-0.08)

82.55% (

0.07)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

-0.05)

17.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.79% (

-0.08)

47.21% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 15.5%

Barcelona 61.64%

Draw 22.85%

Espanyol	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.5%	1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.85%	0-1 @ 14.2% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 12.56% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 61.64%