Club Friendlies

Jul 24, 2023 at 3.10am UK

Rose Bowl

Real Madrid
3 - 2
AC Milan

Valverde (57', 57', 59', 59'), Junior (84', 84')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Tomori (25', 25'), Romero (42', 42')
Romero (47')

Reaction

Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham on July 23, 2023

Carlo Ancelotti reacts to Jude Bellingham's Real Madrid debut against AC Milan

Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti praises Jude Bellingham for his impressive debut against AC Milan on Sunday night.

Jul 24, 22:22

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: AC Milan 7-0 Lumezzane
Thursday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	AC Milan
53.42% ( 0)	23.55% ( -0.01)	23.03% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.24% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

0.06)

46.47% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

0.06)

68.75% (

-0.06)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

0.02)

17.33% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.29% (

0.04)

47.71% (

-0.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.61% (

0.05)

34.39% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

0.05)

71.09% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 53.42%

AC Milan 23.03%

Draw 23.55%

Real Madrid	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.42%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 23.03%