La Liga Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Karim Benzema 72' goal
  • goal Oihan Sancet 49'

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 6.00pm
Sevilla 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 6.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Inaki Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid 55.72% (+2.61)
Draw 22.74% (-1.01)
Athletic Bilbao 21.54% (-1.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (+1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.38% (+2.56)
Under 2.5 44.62% (-2.56)
Over 3.5 33.01% (+2.43)
Under 3.5 66.99% (-2.43)
Over 4.5 16.8% (+1.73)
Under 4.5 83.2% (-1.73)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 84.14% (+1.86)
Under 0.5 15.86% (-1.85)
Over 1.5 54.94% (+3.31)
Under 1.5 45.06% (-3.30)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 65.26% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 34.74% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 28.53% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.47% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 55.72%
Draw 22.73%
Athletic Bilbao 21.54%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.50)
2-1 @ 9.88% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 9.34% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.44)
3-0 @ 5.73% (+0.43)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.23)
4-1 @ 2.79% (+0.36)
4-0 @ 2.64% (+0.35)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.19)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-83.28)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 55.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.53)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.64)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.73%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.68)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.37)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.54%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT San Mamés Barria
  • goal Karim Benzema 24'
  • goal Toni Kroos 90'
Copa del Rey
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Dani Garcia 42' yellowcard
  • Oscar de Marcos 67' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 89' goal
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 24'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 59'
Supercopa de Espana
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcelino 51' yellowcard
  • Dani Garcia 77' yellowcard
  • Yeray Alvarez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Modric 38'
  • goal Karim Benzema 52'
  • redcard Eder Militao 87'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Dec 22, 2021 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Oihan Sancet 10' goal
  • Unai Vencedor 43' yellowcard
  • Dani Garcia 61' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 4'
  • goal Karim Benzema 7'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 42'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 62'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Dec 1, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 40' goal
  • Luka Modric 68' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oier Zarraga 31'
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 43'
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 77'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Berenguer 14' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 79' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 80' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 89' redcard
  • Marcelino 90' yellowcard
  • goal Nacho 68'
  • yellowcard Nacho 82'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 90'+1'

Build-up

News