Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 18.84% ( | 27.15% ( | 54% ( |
| Both teams to score 38.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.27% ( | 63.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17% ( | 82.99% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.27% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.24% ( | 83.76% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( | 58.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.84% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 2-2 @ 3.08% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 16.69% ( 0-2 @ 11.9% ( 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0-3 @ 5.66% ( 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 54% |