Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
| 68.25% ( | 20.46% ( | 11.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( | 53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( | 74.59% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( | 14.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.33% ( | 42.67% ( |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.71% ( | 53.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.16% ( | 86.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( 2-0 @ 14.4% ( 3-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 4-0 @ 4.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 5-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-2 @ 2.85% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 1-2 @ 2.96% ( 0-2 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.29% |