La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

May 2, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
2 - 1
Elche

Baptistao (22'), Embarba (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ponce (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Almeria
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Elche
53.46% ( 0.52)	24.61% ( -0.12)	21.93% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 49.56% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48% (

0.04)

51.99% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

0.04)

73.73% (

-0.03)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

0.22)

19.4% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.78% (

0.36)

51.21% (

-0.36)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.48% (

-0.38)

38.51% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-0.36)

75.26% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Almeria 53.45%

Elche 21.93%

Draw 24.61%

Almeria	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.45%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.93%