La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 25, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna2 - 0Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Osasuna
Sunday, May 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
When you couple Osasuna's strong home form with Athletic Bilbao's impressive away record, all the signs point towards a close-fought battle at El Sadar. Given that only the top six teams have conceded fewer goals than Osasuna and Athletic this season, we expect the European chasers to play out a low-scoring draw on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
34.47% ( 0.22) | 27.22% ( 0.4) | 38.31% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
