La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 21, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico3 - 0Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elche 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna
Osasuna have often proved to be a tough nut to crack on their travels this season, picking up points in 11 of their 17 away league games. Atletico will be determined to bounce back from their shock loss to Elche, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 4.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.29%) and 1-0 (12.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
83.81% ( 0.7) | 12.06% ( -0.4) | 4.13% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 31.37% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
