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La Liga

Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 21, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Osauna logo

Atletico
3 - 0
Osasuna

Carrasco (44'), Niguez (62'), Correa (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Elche 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Osasuna

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 3-1 Almeria
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 4.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.29%) and 1-0 (12.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
83.81% (0.70099999999999 0.7)12.06% (-0.401 -0.4)4.13% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 31.37% (-0.909 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.36% (0.281 0.28)42.64% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.96% (0.279 0.28)65.04% (-0.282 -0.28)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.35% (0.22099999999999 0.22)7.65% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.69% (0.57000000000001 0.57)27.31% (-0.573 -0.57)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.97% (-1.07 -1.07)66.03% (1.067 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.57% (-0.4529 -0.45)93.43% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 83.79%
    Osasuna 4.13%
    Draw 12.06%
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
2-0 @ 16.68% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 14.29% (0.3 0.3)
1-0 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.19% (0.295 0.3)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-0 @ 4.72% (0.203 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.02% (0.109 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 83.79%
1-1 @ 5.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 1.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.06%
0-1 @ 2.1% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 1.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 4.13%

How you voted: Atletico vs Osasuna

Atletico Madrid
86.0%
Draw
8.0%
Osasuna
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 3.15pm
gameweek 19
Osasuna
0-1
Atletico

Brasanac (70')
Niguez (74')
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 25
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 14
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Osasuna
Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Osasuna
1-3
Atletico
Budimir (80')
Herrera (42')
Felix (43' pen., 69'), Torreira (88')
Koke (72'), Llorente (91')