Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
59.86% ( 0.07) | 21.17% ( -0.02) | 18.97% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% ( 0.04) | 41.15% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.45% ( 0.04) | 63.54% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.63% ( 0.03) | 13.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.72% ( 0.07) | 40.27% ( -0.06) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.02) | 35.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.02) | 72.08% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |