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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Almeria

Osasuna
3 - 1
Almeria

Budimir (46'), Ezzalzouli (51'), Gomez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lazaro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Almeria

Almeria are in the better form entering this match, but it is difficult to back them on the road considering their struggles this term. Osasuna will be determined to return to winning ways, but we believe that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
59.86% (0.07 0.07) 21.17% (-0.023 -0.02) 18.97% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)63.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (0.067 0.07)40.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)35.32% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)72.08% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 59.86%
    Almeria 18.97%
    Draw 21.17%
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Almeria

Osasuna
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Almeria
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna
Avila (28')
Garcia (5')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Fourth Round
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties

Fernandes (116')

Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 23
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
gameweek 4
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Villar (14'), Castro (64' pen.), Barja (70')
Hernandez (38')
Gimenez (16')
Trujillo (60')
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Marreh (45'), Fernandez (75')
Rodriguez (50')
Lasso (54'), Merida (86'), Torres (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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