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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Atletico Madrid logo

Elche
1 - 0
Atletico

Fidel (41')
Fidel (30'), Blanco (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 5-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-3 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have arguably been the best La Liga team since the turn of the year, and they will be looking to finish the season strongly with a view to claiming second. Elche are now playing under no pressure, which should help them, but we are struggling to predict anything other than a comfortable away success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
18.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 21.94% (0.211 0.21) 59.76% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)45.64% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.733 -0.73)67.96% (0.735 0.73)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (-0.347 -0.35)38.7% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (-0.334 -0.33)75.44% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (-0.348 -0.35)14.87% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (-0.669 -0.67)43.21% (0.669 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Elche 18.3%
    Atletico Madrid 59.75%
    Draw 21.94%
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.46% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 4.94% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 18.3%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 10.96% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 10.45% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 59.75%

How you voted: Elche vs Atletico

Elche
16.3%
Draw
2.0%
Atletico Madrid
81.6%
49
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 15
Atletico
2-0
Elche
Felix (56'), Morata (74')

Gonzalo (45+1')
May 11, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 36
Elche
0-2
Atletico

Milla (7'), Bigas (40')
Cunha (28'), De Paul (62')
Lodi (35'), Kondogbia (90+3')
Aug 22, 2021 6.30pm
gameweek 2
Atletico
1-0
Elche
Correa (39')
Suarez (90'), Kondogbia (90+5')

Gonzalo (65'), Benedetto (87')
May 1, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 34
Elche
0-1
Atletico

Milla (69'), Boye (75'), Barragan (76')
Llorente (23')
Lemar (36'), Carrasco (41')
Dec 19, 2020 1pm
gameweek 14
Atletico
3-1
Elche
Suarez (41', 58'), Costa (80' pen.)
Hermoso (40')
Boye (64')
Gonzalo (14'), Marcone (79'), Almiron (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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