La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2023 at 9pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
5 - 1
Cadiz

Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lozano (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 2-5 Atletico
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 75.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (11.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
75.29% ( 1.77)	17.3% ( -0.22)	7.4% ( -1.55)

Both teams to score 34.42% (

-5.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.5% (

-3.99)

51.5% (

3.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

-3.59)

73.3% (

3.58)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.96% (

-0.63)

12.04% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.48% (

-1.35)

37.52% (

1.36)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.13% (

-6.27)

60.86% (

6.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.91% (

-3.45)

91.08% (

3.45)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 75.29%

Cadiz 7.4%

Draw 17.31%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
2-0 @ 16.42% ( 1.75) 1-0 @ 15.51% ( 2) 3-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.73) 4-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.67) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.44) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.52) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.23) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 75.29%	1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.66) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.31%	0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.94% Total : 7.4%