La Liga Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 9.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Antoine Griezmann 2' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 27' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 49' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 57' goal
  • Nahuel Molina 73' goal
  • goal Anthony Lozano 72'

Atletico Madrid vs Cadiz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 8.00pm
Valladolid 2 - 5 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Cadiz

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 1.00pm
Cadiz 2 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gonzalo Escalante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 75.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (11.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 75.29% (+1.77)
Draw 17.3% (-0.22)
Cadiz 7.4% (-1.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.42% (-5.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.5% (-3.99)
Under 2.5 51.5% (+4.00)
Over 3.5 26.69% (-3.59)
Under 3.5 73.3% (+3.59)
Over 4.5 12.45% (-2.42)
Under 4.5 87.55% (+2.42)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 87.96% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 12.04% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 62.48% (-1.36)
Under 1.5 37.52% (+1.36)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5 39.13% (-6.28)
Under 0.5 60.86% (+6.28)
Over 1.5 8.91% (-3.46)
Under 1.5 91.08% (+3.46)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 75.29%
Draw 17.31%
Cadiz 7.4%
Atletico Madrid
2-0 @ 16.42% (+1.76)
1-0 @ 15.51% (+2.00)
3-0 @ 11.58% (+0.97)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.73)
4-0 @ 6.13% (+0.37)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.68)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.45)
5-0 @ 2.6% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.52)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.23)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 75.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.49)
0-0 @ 7.33% (+1.10)
2-2 @ 2.02% (-0.67)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.31%
Cadiz
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 1.91% (-0.57)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 7.4%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
  • Theo Bongonda 1' goal
  • Alex Fernandez 81' goal
  • Ruben Sobrino 90'+9' goal
  • goal Luis Hernandez 85' (OG)
  • goal Joao Felix 89'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 4, 2022 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
  • Cala 21' yellowcard
  • David Gil 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Fali 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Gimenez 87' goal
  • goal Alvaro Morata 13'
  • goal Saul Niguez 45'
  • goal Daniel Wass 46'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 51'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 56'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joao Felix 3' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 30' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 35' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 41' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Simeone 41' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 68' goal
  • Javi Serrano 88' redcard
  • Stefan Savic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Sobrino 33'
  • goal Alvaro Negredo 45'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Fernandez 24' yellowcard
  • Jens Jonsson 82' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 86' goal
  • goal Thomas Lemar 56'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 70'
  • goal Angel Correa 76'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 86'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Alvaro Negredo 35' goal
  • Jairo Izquierdo 40' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Negredo 71' goal
  • goal Luis Suarez 28'
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 38'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 41'
  • goal Saul Niguez 44'
  • goal Luis Suarez 50'
  • yellowcard Sime Vrsaljko 73'
  • yellowcard Koke 76'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 85'
  • goal Koke 88'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Nov 7, 2020 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joao Felix 8' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 22' goal
  • Luis Suarez 51' goal
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 85' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jens Jonsson 57'