La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
5 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Baena (24', 90'), Jackson (37', 50'), Paredes (61' og.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sancet (45+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, May 3 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Betis
Thursday, May 4 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
37.35%	26.57%	36.07% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.3% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.38% (

-0)

52.62% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.73% (

-0)

74.27% (

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

-0)

27.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0)

62.74% (

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

-0)

28.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0)

63.71% (

Score Analysis

Villarreal 37.35%

Athletic Bilbao 36.07%

Draw 26.56%

Villarreal	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.35%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.8% Total : 36.07%