Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.