Champions League
May 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 74' goal

Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Inter Milan

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result

Inter Milan 57.66% (+0.04)
Draw 23.39% (-0.01)
AC Milan 18.95% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.83% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.29% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.7% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.39% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.6% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.91% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.09% (+0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 82.65% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.34% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.27% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.72%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 59.08% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.92% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 22.51% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 77.48% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 57.65%
Draw 23.38%
AC Milan 18.95%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 12.43% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.89% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.36% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 57.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.38%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 18.95%

Head to Head

Champions League
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Edin Dzeko 8'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 11'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 34' goal
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 18, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Federico Dimarco 10'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 77'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 9' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 28' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 32' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 51' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 54' goal
  • Rafael Leao 60' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 77' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 9'
  • goal Marcelo Brozovic 21'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 39'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 67'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 71'
Coppa Italia
Apr 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 4' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 40' goal
  • Milan Skriniar 50' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 82' goal
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 35'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'
Coppa Italia
Mar 1, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 33'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 58'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups