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Serie A

Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Bennacer (17'), Hernandez (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Sassuolo
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
52.34% (-0.4 -0.4)25.46% (0.126 0.13)22.2% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05% (-0.197 -0.2)54.95% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.163 -0.16)76.23% (0.164 0.16)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.246 -0.25)21.02% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)53.81% (0.386 0.39)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (0.166 0.17)39.92% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (0.15 0.15)76.58% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 52.32%
    Lazio 22.2%
    Draw 25.46%
AC MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio

AC Milan
51.2%
Draw
23.3%
Lazio
25.6%
129
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Lazio
4-0
AC Milan
Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 34
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 33
Lazio
3-0
AC Milan
Correa (2', 51'), Immobile (87')
Acerbi (19'), Milinkovic-Savic (57')