Serie A Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ismael Bennacer 17' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 29' goal

AC Milan vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Cremonese
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
Lazio 2 - 0 Sassuolo
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Ciro Immobile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 52.34% (-0.40)
Draw 25.46% (+0.13)
Lazio 22.2% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.45% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.05% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 54.95% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 23.77% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 76.23% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 10.59% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 89.41% (+0.11)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 78.98% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 21.02% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 46.19% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 53.81% (+0.39)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 60.08% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 39.92% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 23.42% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 76.58% (-0.16)

Score analysis

AC Milan 52.32%
Draw 25.46%
Lazio 22.2%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.39% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.46%
Lazio
0-1 @ 7.71% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 5.52% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 4' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 38' goal
  • Luis Alberto 67' goal
  • Felipe Anderson 75' goal
Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ciro Immobile 4' goal
  • Thomas Strakosha 8' yellowcard
  • Lucas Leiva 53' yellowcard
  • Danilo Cataldi 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 26'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 50'
  • yellowcard Pierre Kalulu 83'
  • yellowcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 85'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 90'+4'
Coppa Italia
Feb 9, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Sandro Tonali 22' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 24' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 41' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 45'+1' goal
  • Franck Kessie 79' goal
  • yellowcard Luiz Felipe 15'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rafael Leao 45' goal
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 63' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Marusic 17'
  • yellowcard Pepe Reina 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Luis Alberto 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Elseid Hysaj 57'
  • redcard Maurizio Sarri 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joaquin Correa 2' goal
  • Francesco Acerbi 19' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Correa 51' goal
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 57' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 87' goal
Serie A Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ante Rebic 10' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 17' goal
  • Rade Krunic 41' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 44' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 78' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 27'
  • goal Luis Alberto 28'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Escalante 39'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 59'
  • yellowcard Luis Alberto 64'
  • yellowcard Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 80'
  • yellowcard Vedat Muriqi 88'