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Serie A

Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Milan logo

Bologna
1 - 1
AC Milan

Sansone (1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pobega (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Wednesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BolognaDrawAC Milan
33.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)26.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.12% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)51.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.37% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)60.06% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 33.63%
    AC Milan 40.12%
    Draw 26.25%
BolognaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.63%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.12%

How you voted: Bologna vs AC Milan

Bologna
27.8%
Draw
25.3%
AC Milan
46.8%
79
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

Schouten (56')
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Bologna

Dijks (41'), Orsolini (90+8')
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Bologna
1-2
AC Milan
Poli (81')
Dijks (24'), Soriano (56')
Mihajlovic (55')
Rebic (26'), Kessie (55' pen.)
Rebic (51')
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Ibrahimovic (35', 50' pen.)
Castillejo (40'), Krunic (86'), Gabbia (89')

Dominguez (18'), Dijks (31'), Tomiyasu (74'), Sansone (82')
Dijks (88')