Serie A Gameweek 28
Napoli
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
AC Milan
  • goal Rafael Leao 17'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 25'
  • goal Rafael Leao 59'
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 67'

Napoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
Torino 0 - 4 Napoli
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Victor Osimhen

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
Udinese 3 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 64.5%
Draw 20.01%
AC Milan 15.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%
Over 3.5 35.5%
Under 3.5 64.5%
Over 4.5 18.64%
Under 4.5 81.36%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 87.67%
Under 0.5 12.32%
Over 1.5 61.87%
Under 1.5 38.12%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 59.99%
Under 0.5 40%
Over 1.5 23.34%
Under 1.5 76.65%

Score analysis

Napoli 64.5%
Draw 20.01%
AC Milan 15.48%
Napoli
2-0 @ 10.8%
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 6.91%
4-0 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46%
0-0 @ 4.93%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.01%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 4.52%
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.48%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 7
AC Milan
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli
  • Olivier Giroud 69' goal
  • goal Matteo Politano 55'
  • goal Giovanni Simeone 78'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Napoli
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 24' yellowcard
  • Amir Rrahmani 37' yellowcard
  • Victor Osimhen 77' yellowcard
  • Adam Ounas 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 8'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 39'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 49'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 77'
  • yellowcard Mike Maignan 83'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 18
AC Milan
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Napoli
  • goal Eljif Elmas 5'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 33'
  • yellowcard Kevin Malcuit 67'
Serie A Gameweek 27
AC Milan
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Napoli
  • Theo Hernandez 86' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Maksimovic 26'
  • goal Matteo Politano 49'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 70'
  • yellowcard Ivan Gennaro Gattuso 89'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Napoli
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 16' yellowcard
  • Dries Mertens 63' goal
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 65' redcard
  • Mario Rui 81' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 20'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 47'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 54'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 59'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 76'
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 85'
  • goal Jens Petter Hauge 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Napoli
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio San Paolo
AC Milan
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 10' yellowcard
  • Mario Rui 30' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 34' goal
  • Dries Mertens 60' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 20'
  • goal Franck Kessie 73'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 75'
  • yellowcard Andrea Conti 77'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 85'
  • redcard Alexis Saelemaekers 88'

Form Data

Torino 0 - 4 Napoli
Napoli 3 - 0 Frankfurt
Napoli 2 - 0 Atalanta
Napoli 0 - 1 Lazio
Empoli 0 - 2 Napoli
Frankfurt 0 - 2 Napoli
Udinese 3 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Salernitana
Spurs 0 - 0 AC Milan
Fiorentina 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 0 Atalanta
Monza 0 - 1 AC Milan