Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
0 - 4
AC Milan

FT(HT: 0-2)

Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, March 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	AC Milan
64.5%	20.01%	15.48%

Both teams to score 52.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9%

42.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.5%

64.5%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67%

12.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87%

38.12%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99%

40%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34%

76.65%

Score Analysis

Napoli 64.5%

AC Milan 15.48%

Draw 20.01%

Napoli	Draw	AC Milan
2-0 @ 10.8% 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.5%	1-1 @ 9.46% 0-0 @ 4.93% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.01%	0-1 @ 4.52% 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.48%