Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
0 - 4
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-2)

Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Napoli
19.13% ( 0.1)	24.45% ( 0.15)	56.41% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 46.08% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.46% (

-0.45)

54.54% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.11% (

-0.37)

75.89% (

0.37)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.05% (

-0.15)

42.95% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.75% (

-0.13)

79.25% (

0.13)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

-0.27)

19.23% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.07% (

-0.44)

50.93% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Torino 19.13%

Napoli 56.4%

Draw 24.45%

Torino	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.13%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 13.61% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.4%