Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 0
Frankfurt

(Napoli win 5-0 on aggregate)

Osimhen (45+2', 53'), Zielinski (64' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Napoli
Sunday, December 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Next Game: Lazio vs. Napoli
Sunday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A

Eintracht Frankfurt

Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
61.54% ( 0.03)	20.19% ( -0.02)	18.27% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.17% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.28% (

0.09)

37.72% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.04% (

0.09)

59.96% (

-0.1)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.18% (

0.03)

11.82% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.93% (

0.08)

37.06% (

-0.08)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

0.04)

34.03% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28% (

0.04)

70.71% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Napoli 61.54%

Eintracht Frankfurt 18.27%

Draw 20.19%

Napoli	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.53% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 4.18% Total : 61.54%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.19%	1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 18.27%