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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Friedl (7' og.), Kolo (52')
Max (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stark (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Werder Bremen

This should be an entertaining match between two teams who prefer to attack than defend, but Frankfurt should have enough quality to secure all three points with home advantage on their side. Werder's leaky defence is likely to prove accommodating to the burgeoning presence of Randal Kolo Muani, with himself and Niclas Fullkrug both enjoying growing reputations after enjoying superb individual World Cup campaigns with France and Germany respectively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
57.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.36% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 21.17% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)38.86% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.035999999999994 0.04)61.18% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.23% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)31.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)68.26% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 57.46%
    Werder Bremen 21.17%
    Draw 21.36%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62%
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 57.46%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen

Eintracht Frankfurt
77.3%
Draw
13.6%
Werder Bremen
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 4.30pm
Werder Bremen
3-4
Frankfurt
Jung (14'), Bittencourt (17'), Fullkrug (90+2' pen.)
Pieper (33')
Gotze (2'), Kolo (32'), Lindstrom (39'), Sow (48')
Trapp (75'), Sow (90+3'), Glasner (90+4'), Knauff (90+6')
Feb 26, 2021 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-1
Frankfurt
Gebre Selassie (47'), Sargent (62')
Gebre Selassie (35'), Schmid (78'), Friedl (81'), Mohwald (81')
Silva (9')
Rode (40'), Younes (81'), Hutter (90'), Tuta (90+2')
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
Werder Bremen
Silva (65')
Ilsanker (4')
Sargent (51')
Mbom (45+2'), Sargent (55'), Osako (90+3')
Jun 3, 2020 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Frankfurt
2-0
Werder Bremen
Silva (45' pen.), Kamada (60')
Abraham (34'), Hinteregger (80')
Kostic (90')

Bittencourt (45'), Selke (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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