Serie A Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Napoli 0 - 4 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Empoli 1 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Nicolo Cambiaghi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 65.77% (+0.05)
Draw 20.46% (-0.01)
Empoli 13.77% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.8% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.41% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.59% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.21% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.79% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.82% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.19% (+0.03)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 86.36% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 13.64%
Over 1.5 59.19% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.81%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 54.19% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 45.81% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 18.43% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 81.57% (+0.07)

Score analysis

AC Milan 65.76%
Draw 20.46%
Empoli 13.77%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 12.44% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.39% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.24% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 65.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.46%
Empoli
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 13.77%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Nedim Bajrami 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ante Rebic 79'
  • goal Fode Ballo-Toure 90'+3'
  • goal Rafael Leao 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pierre Kalulu 19' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 90'+4' yellowcard
Serie A Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Nedim Bajrami 18' goal
  • Simone Romagnoli 62' yellowcard
  • Andrea Pinamonti 84' goal
  • goal Franck Kessie 12'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 39'
  • goal Franck Kessie 42'
  • goal Alessandro Florenzi 63'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 69'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 80'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Krzysztof Piatek 49' goal
  • Franck Kessie 51' goal
  • Samu Castillejo 67' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 55'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)
  • Domenico Maietta 53' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Capezzi 55' yellowcard
  • Francesco Caputo 71' goal
  • goal Leonardo Capezzi 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 45'
  • yellowcard Diego Laxalt 83'
Serie A
Apr 23, 2017 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jose Sosa 21' yellowcard
  • Mattia De Sciglio 48' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 72' goal
  • goal Levan Mchedlidze 40'
  • yellowcard Mame Baba Thiam 56'
  • goal Mame Baba Thiam 67'
  • yellowcard Andres Tello 82'
  • yellowcard Omar El Kaddouri 89'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 90'