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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli logo

AC Milan
0 - 0
Empoli

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Lecce
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
65.77% (0.045000000000002 0.05)20.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)13.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.8% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)47.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)69.79% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)13.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)40.81%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (-0.073 -0.07)45.81% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)81.57% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 65.76%
    Empoli 13.77%
    Draw 20.46%
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.24% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.1% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 65.76%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 13.77%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Empoli

AC Milan
89.3%
Draw
5.3%
Empoli
5.3%
75
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
Empoli
1-3
AC Milan
Bajrami (90+1')
Rebic (79'), Ballo-Toure (90+3'), Leao (90+6')
Kjaer (24')
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Sep 27, 2018 8pm
Empoli
1-1
AC Milan
Caputo (71' pen.)
Maietta (53'), Capezzi (55')
Capezzi (10' og.)
Calabria (45'), Laxalt (83')