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Francesco Caputo
62'
Empoli vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.
Result
Empoli
40.26%
▼
(-1.67)
Draw
26.88%
▲
(+0.16)
Lecce
32.86%
▲
(+1.51)
Both Teams to Score:
50.83%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.73%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
54.27%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
24.34%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
75.66%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
10.94%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
89.06%
▲
(+0.12)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
73.55%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 0.5
26.45%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 1.5
38.38%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 1.5
61.62%
▲
(+1.33)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
69.1%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 0.5
30.9%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 1.5
32.81%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 1.5
67.19%
▼
(-1.08)
Score analysis
Empoli
40.25%
Draw
26.87%
Lecce
32.86%
Empoli
1-0
@
10.86%
▼
(-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.25%
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.25%
Draw
1-1
@
12.76%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.87%
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.87%
Lecce
0-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.32)
1-2 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.86%
1-2 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.86%
