Champions League
Napoli
Apr 18, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)
AC Milan
  • Victor Osimhen 90'+3' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 43'

Napoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 12, 2023 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Napoli

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 12, 2023 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Napoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Napoli 53.15% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 23.4% ▼ (-0.12)
AC Milan 23.45% ▲ (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.23% ▲ (+0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.6% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 2.5 45.4% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 32.26% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 3.5 67.74% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 4.5 16.26% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 4.5 83.74% ▼ (-0.62)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 82.96% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 17.04% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 52.8% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 47.2% ▼ (-0.41)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 66.57% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 0.5 33.43% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 1.5 29.94% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 1.5 70.06% ▼ (-0.92)

Score analysis

Napoli 53.15%
Draw 23.4%
AC Milan 23.45%
Napoli
1-0 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.32)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 53.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.4%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.45%

Head to Head

Champions League
AC Milan
Apr 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli
  • Ismael Bennacer 40' goal
Serie A Gameweek 28
Napoli
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
AC Milan
  • goal Rafael Leao 17'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 25'
  • goal Rafael Leao 59'
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 67'
Serie A Gameweek 7
AC Milan
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli
  • Olivier Giroud 69' goal
  • goal Matteo Politano 55'
  • goal Giovanni Simeone 78'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Napoli
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 24' yellowcard
  • Amir Rrahmani 37' yellowcard
  • Victor Osimhen 77' yellowcard
  • Adam Ounas 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 8'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 39'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 49'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 77'
  • yellowcard Mike Maignan 83'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 18
AC Milan
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Napoli
  • goal Eljif Elmas 5'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 33'
  • yellowcard Kevin Malcuit 67'
Serie A Gameweek 27
AC Milan
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Napoli
  • Theo Hernandez 86' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Maksimovic 26'
  • goal Matteo Politano 49'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 70'
  • yellowcard Ivan Gennaro Gattuso 89'

Form Data

Napoli 0 - 0 Hellas Verona
AC Milan 1 - 0 Napoli
Lecce 1 - 2 Napoli
Napoli 0 - 4 AC Milan
Torino 0 - 4 Napoli
Napoli 3 - 0 Frankfurt
Bologna 1 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Napoli
AC Milan 0 - 0 Empoli
Napoli 0 - 4 AC Milan
Udinese 3 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Salernitana

Build-up

Feature
Predicted Lineups