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Champions League

Napoli logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)
Milan logo

Napoli
1 - 1
AC Milan

Osimhen (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Giroud (43')

The Match

Match Report

AC Milan knock Napoli out of the Champions League 2-1 on aggregate in the quarter-finals thanks to a draw in southern Italy tonight.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and AC Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how AC Milan could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
53.15% (-0.269 -0.27)23.4% (-0.116 -0.12)23.45% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.851 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (0.906 0.91)45.4% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (0.86 0.86)67.74% (-0.86 -0.86)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (0.235 0.23)17.04% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (0.41 0.41)47.2% (-0.41 -0.41)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (0.842 0.84)33.43% (-0.841 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (0.911 0.91)70.06% (-0.91199999999999 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 53.15%
    AC Milan 23.45%
    Draw 23.4%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.45%

How you voted: Napoli vs AC Milan

Napoli
65.2%
Draw
16.4%
AC Milan
18.4%
385
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Bennacer (40')
Pioli (44'), Bennacer (60'), Saelemaekers (90+3'), Calabria (90+6')

Zielinski (38'), Zambo Anguissa (70'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Min-jae (78'), Rrahmani (90+3')
Zambo Anguissa (74')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan

Lobotka (40')
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
Giroud (35'), Krunic (63')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-2
Napoli
Giroud (69')
Kjaer (18')
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli
Elmas (5')
Di Lorenzo (33'), Malcuit (67')