Serie A Gameweek 29
Lecce
Apr 7, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Napoli
  • Federico Di Francesco 52' goal
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 18'
  • goal Antonino Gallo 64' (OG)

Lecce vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Empoli 1 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Napoli 0 - 4 AC Milan
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Victor Osimhen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.51%) and 0-3 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

Lecce 11.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 19.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Napoli 69.49% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.63% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.04% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 48.96% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 28.95% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 71.05% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 13.95% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 86.05% ▲ (+0.15)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 48.98% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 51.02% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 14.65% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 85.35% ▲ (+0.12)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 87.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 12.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 60.56% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 39.44% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Lecce 11.16%
Draw 19.35%
Napoli 69.49%
Lecce
1-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 11.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.35%
Napoli
0-2 @ 13.8% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 13.51% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 69.49%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 4
Napoli
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Lecce
  • Eljif Elmas 27' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 31'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Napoli
Feb 9, 2020 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio San Paolo
Lecce
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 37' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 48' goal
  • Piotr Zielinski 57' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 73' yellowcard
  • Mario Rui 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Demme 84' yellowcard
  • Jose Callejon 90' goal
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 29'
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 61'
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 66'
  • yellowcard Mauro Vigorito 78'
  • goal Marco Mancosu 82'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 85'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Lecce
Sep 22, 2019 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
Napoli
  • Panagiotis Tachtsidis 37' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 38' yellowcard
  • Andrea Tabanelli 49' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 61' goal
  • yellowcard Faouzi Ghoulam 22'
  • goal Fernando Llorente 28'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 40'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 45'
  • goal Fabian 52'
  • yellowcard Fabian 53'
  • goal Fernando Llorente 82'

Form Data

Empoli 1 - 0 Lecce
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 2 Torino
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 1 Sassuolo
Atalanta 1 - 2 Lecce
Napoli 0 - 4 AC Milan
Torino 0 - 4 Napoli
Napoli 3 - 0 Frankfurt
Napoli 2 - 0 Atalanta
Napoli 0 - 1 Lazio
Empoli 0 - 2 Napoli