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Serie A

Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sassuolo logo

Lazio
2 - 0
Sassuolo

Anderson (14'), Basic (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, April 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSassuolo
54.11% (0.165 0.16)23.42% (0.319 0.32)22.47% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-1.664 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-1.911 -1.91)46.51% (1.914 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (-1.82 -1.82)68.79% (1.824 1.82)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.63300000000001 -0.63)17.1% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-1.129 -1.13)47.3% (1.132 1.13)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-1.496 -1.5)34.92% (1.499 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-1.607 -1.61)71.66% (1.612 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 54.11%
    Sassuolo 22.47%
    Draw 23.41%
LazioDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.613 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.359 0.36)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 54.11%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.469 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.251 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.47%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sassuolo

Lazio
83.1%
Draw
11.3%
Sassuolo
5.6%
71
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 11.30am
gameweek 18
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio

Toljan (45+2'), Ruan (45+2'), Rogerio (64'), Erlic (83'), Lopez (88')
Zaccagni (45+3' pen.), Anderson (90+4')
Casale (18'), Cataldi (45+2'), Hysaj (65')
Apr 2, 2022 5pm
gameweek 31
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Lazzari (17'), Milinkovic-Savic (51')
Anderson (7')
Traore (90+4')
Kiriakopoulos (5'), Frattesi (32'), Harroui (84')
Dec 12, 2021 5pm
gameweek 17
Sassuolo
2-1
Lazio
Berardi (63'), Raspadori (69')
Berardi (77')
Ayhan (88')
Zaccagni (6')
Marusic (40'), Anderson (73')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Sassuolo
2-0
Lazio
Kiriakopoulos (10'), Berardi (78' pen.)
Kiriakopoulos (50'), De Zerbi (90')
Kiriakopoulos (61')

Parolo (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
gameweek 19
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Milinkovic-Savic (25'), Immobile (71')
Patric (59'), Leiva (75')
Caputo (6')
Santos (65'), Obiang (68'), Ferrari (90+2')