Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 27.07% ( | 22.42% ( | 50.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.49% ( | 37.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.26% ( | 59.74% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% | 26.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.49% | 61.51% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( | 15.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.34% ( | 43.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 1-3 @ 5.97% ( 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.88% ( 1-5 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 4.06% Total : 50.51% |