Serie A Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Antonio Candreva 90' goal
  • goal Robin Gosens 6'

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 2.00pm
Spezia 1 - 1 Salernitana
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Boulaye Dia

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 5.00pm
Inter Milan 0 - 1 Fiorentina
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Salernitana 11.11% (-0.01)
Draw 17.28% (-0.01)
Inter Milan 71.6% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.27% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 39.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 62.33% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.3% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.7% (-0.02)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 54.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.33% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 81.2% (-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 90.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 67.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 32.73% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Salernitana 11.11%
Draw 17.28%
Inter Milan 71.6%
Salernitana
1-0 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.24%
2-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 11.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.2% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.28%
Inter Milan
0-2 @ 11.99%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-3 @ 9.26%
1-3 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 5.36% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 71.6%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 11.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 14' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 58' goal
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Matteo Darmian 8' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 22' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 40' goal
  • Stefan de Vrij 44' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 56' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 64' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 69' goal
  • yellowcard Lys Mousset 12'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Norbert Gyomber 53' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Perisic 11'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 18'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 33'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 52'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 76'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 77'
  • goal Roberto Gagliardini 87'