Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.