Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
1 - 0
Empoli

Dessers (4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sampdoria 2-3 Cremonese
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Empoli
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Empoli
40.76% ( -0.05)	26.32% ( -0.01)	32.92% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 52.59% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

0.07)

52.01% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25% (

0.06)

73.75% (

-0.06)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

25.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

59.87% (

-0)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

0.08)

29.73% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

0.09)

65.79% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 40.75%

Empoli 32.92%

Draw 26.31%

Cremonese	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.75%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.92%