Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.