Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 3
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Empoli
Friday, April 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Inter Milan
14.09% ( 0.05)	19.81% ( 0.04)	66.1% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.91% (

-0.04)

44.09% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53% (

-0.04)

66.47% (

0.03)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.84% (

0.06)

43.16% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.57% (

0.05)

79.43% (

-0.05)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

-0.04)

12.47% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.57% (

-0.08)

38.43% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Empoli 14.09%

Inter Milan 66.09%

Draw 19.81%

Empoli	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.09%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.81%	0-2 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 66.09%