Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 48'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 76'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 88'

Empoli vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2023 5.30pm
Cremonese 1 - 0 Empoli
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Nicolo Cambiaghi

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
Inter Milan 0 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Empoli 14.09% (+0.06)
Draw 19.81% (+0.04)
Inter Milan 66.1% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.75% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.91% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.09% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.53% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.47% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.18% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.82% (+0.03)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 56.84% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 43.16% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 20.57% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 79.43% (-0.05)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 87.53% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 12.47% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 61.57% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 38.43% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Empoli 14.09%
Draw 19.81%
Inter Milan 66.09%
Empoli
1-0 @ 4.52% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 3.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.81%
Inter Milan
0-2 @ 11.66% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.09% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.21% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 66.09%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Tommaso Baldanzi 66'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Simone Romagnoli 40' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 45' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 64' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 64' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sanchez 90'+4' goal
  • goal Andrea Pinamonti 5'
  • goal Kristjan Asllani 28'
Coppa Italia
Jan 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Alexis Sanchez 13' goal
  • Matias Vecino 54' yellowcard
  • Andrea Ranocchia 90'+1' goal
  • Stefano Sensi 104' goal
  • goal Nedim Bajrami 61'
  • goal Ionut Radu 76' (OG)
  • yellowcard Simone Romagnoli 77'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sebastiano Luperto 29' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 52' redcard
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 24'
  • goal Danilo D'Ambrosio 34'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 59'
  • goal Federico Dimarco 66'
  • yellowcard Roberto Gagliardini 75'
Serie A
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Keita Balde 51' goal
  • Keita Balde 52' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 72' yellowcard
  • Radja Nainggolan 81' goal
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 90' yellowcard
  • Keita Balde 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Marko Pajac 64'
  • goal Hamed Junior Traore 76'
  • yellowcard Francesco Caputo 90'
  • redcard Filippo Perucchini 90'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Dec 29, 2018 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)
  • Ismael Bennacer 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 68'
  • goal Keita Balde 72'