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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Monza

Inter Milan
0 - 1
Monza

FT(HT: 0-0)
Caldirola (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Monza
Saturday, April 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawMonza
66.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.58% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)13.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 49.11% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)44.22% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.6% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)12.3% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.92% (0.016999999999996 0.02)38.08% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 66.83%
    Monza 13.58%
    Draw 19.58%
Inter MilanDrawMonza
2-0 @ 11.88%
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 66.83%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 19.58%
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.58%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Monza

Inter Milan
77.6%
Draw
17.2%
Monza
5.2%
58
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
Monza
2-2
Inter Milan
Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)
Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
Mkhitaryan (71'), Gagliardini (77'), Inzaghi (85'), Skriniar (87')