Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Lazio |
| 37.24% | 26.91% | 35.85% |
| Both teams to score 51.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.98% | 54.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% | 75.45% |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% | 28.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% | 63.69% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% | 28.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% | 64.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.84% |