Champions League
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Nicolo Barella 14' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 65' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 78' goal
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 38'
  • goal Antonio Silva 86'
  • goal Petar Musa 90'+5'

Inter Milan vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 11, 2023 8.00pm
Benfica 0 - 2 Inter Milan

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 11, 2023 8.00pm
Benfica 0 - 2 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Inter Milan 34.15% (+0.28)
Draw 26.62% (+0.13)
Benfica 39.23% (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.93% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 47% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 53% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 25.41% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 74.59% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 11.61% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 88.38% (+0.27)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 70.57% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.42% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.58% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.42% (+0.07)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 73.57% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 26.42% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 38.41% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 61.59% (+0.60)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 34.15%
Draw 26.61%
Benfica 39.22%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.51% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.74% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.82% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.61%
Benfica
0-1 @ 10.34% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.22%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 11, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • goal Nicolo Barella 51'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 82'

Build-up

Feature
Predicted Lineups