Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica5 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Benfica 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Not only have Benfica enjoyed a superb domestic campaign, but they have also reached the quarter-finals of the Champions League. Schmidt's side have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we anticipate another one-sided affair with As Aguias prevailing once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.23%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 6.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
80.23% ( -0.13) | 13.04% ( 0.08) | 6.73% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
