Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 20, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 1
Boavista

Gilberto (55'), Ramos (82'), Musa (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Njie (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Brugge 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Casa Pia
Monday, February 13 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.83%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Boavista
80.83% ( 0.31)	12.65% ( -0.19)	6.52% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.91% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.71% (

0.41)

33.29% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.94% (

0.47)

55.05% (

-0.47)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.68% (

0.14)

6.32% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.24% (

0.4)

23.76% (

-0.4)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.01% (

-0.06)

50.99% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.67% (

-0.04)

85.33% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Benfica 80.83%

Boavista 6.52%

Draw 12.65%

Benfica	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.57% 6-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 80.83%	1-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.65%	0-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.52%