Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 20, 2023 9.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Gilberto 55' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 82' goal
  • Petar Musa 90'+2' goal
  • goal Yusupha Njie 58'

Benfica vs Boavista - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 6.00pm
Benfica 3 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Goncalo Ramos

Boavista

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2023 9.15pm
Boavista 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yusupha Njie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.83%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 80.83% (+0.31)
Draw 12.65% (-0.19)
Boavista 6.52% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.91% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.71% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 33.29% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 44.94% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 55.05% (-0.48)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 93.68% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 6.32% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 76.24% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 23.76% (-0.41)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5 49.01% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 50.99% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 14.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 85.33% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Benfica 80.83%
Draw 12.65%
Boavista 6.52%
Benfica
2-0 @ 12.28% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 11.31% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 7.81% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.62% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.26% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 4.32% (+0.09)
5-1 @ 2.91% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.57%
6-0 @ 1.99% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.34% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 80.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.99% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 2.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 12.65%
Boavista
0-1 @ 2.17% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 2.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 6.52%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
  • Bruno Lourenco 27' yellowcard
  • Reggie Cannon 52' yellowcard
  • Vincent Sasso 81' yellowcard
  • Gaius Makouta 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 7'
  • goal Morato 30'
  • yellowcard Roger Schmidt 52'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 57'
  • goal Joao Mario 67'
  • goal Joao Mario 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2022 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Sebastian Perez 40' yellowcard
  • Javi Garcia 47' yellowcard
  • Kenji Gorre 69' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Sauer 74' goal
  • Gaius Makouta 80' goal
  • Petar Musa 84' yellowcard
  • Yanis Hamache 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Weigl 15'
  • goal Adel Taarabt 21'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 27'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 30'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 84'
Taca da Liga
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Everton 16' goal
  • Paulo Bernardo 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Petar Musa 17'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Abascal 36'
  • yellowcard Gaius Makouta 46'
  • goal Gustavo Sauer 53'
  • yellowcard Petit 70'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2021 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Darwin Nunez 14' goal
  • Julian Weigl 34' goal
  • Lucas Verissimo 59' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 61' goal
  • goal Gustavo Sauer 32'
  • yellowcard Nathan 36'
  • yellowcard Jackson Porozo 69'
  • yellowcard Petar Musa 74'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Mar 13, 2021 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Julian Weigl 29' yellowcard
  • Adel Taarabt 39' yellowcard
  • Jorge Jesus 40' yellowcard
  • Haris Seferovic 42' goal
  • Haris Seferovic 52' goal
  • redcard Chidozie Awaziem 8'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Nov 2, 2020 9.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Angel Gomes 18' goal
  • Alberth Elis 38' goal
  • Manuel Cafumana 59' yellowcard
  • Miguel Reisinho 65' yellowcard
  • Yanis Hamache 76' goal
  • Leo Jardim 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 66'
  • yellowcard Diogo Goncalves 90'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 90'+2'