Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Guimaraes

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Casa Pia
Monday, February 13 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
29.37% ( 0.13)	28.26% ( 0.03)	42.37% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 45.52% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64% (

-0.05)

60.36% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49% (

-0.03)

80.51% (

0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

0.07)

36.63% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

0.07)

73.42% (

-0.07)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.1)

28.17% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

-0.13)

63.85% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 29.37%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.37%

Draw 28.25%

Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.37%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.37%