Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2023 9.15pm
Boavista 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 8.30pm
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Portimonense
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Andre Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result

Casa Pia 29.37% (+0.13)
Draw 28.26% (+0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.37% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.52% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.64% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 60.36% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 19.49% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.51% (+0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 63.37% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 36.63% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.58% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.42% (-0.07)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 71.83% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 28.17% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 36.15% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 63.85% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 29.37%
Draw 28.25%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.37%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.36% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.21% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 29.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.31% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.25%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 13.07% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 42.37%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Ruben Lameiras 41' yellowcard
  • Bruno Varela 59' yellowcard
  • Andre Andre 86' yellowcard
  • goal Takahiro Kunimoto 7'
  • yellowcard Nermin Zolotic 25'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Batista 55'
  • yellowcard Yan Brice Eteki 68'
Taca da Liga
Aug 1, 2021 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Neto 7' yellowcard
  • Rogerio Vaz Afonso Fernandes 14' yellowcard
  • Vito 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard T. Handel 6'
  • yellowcard Rafa Soares 21'
  • goal Bruno Duarte 26'
  • yellowcard Falaye Sacko 41'
  • yellowcard Rochinha 52'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevkovic 61'
  • redcard Rochinha 73'
  • yellowcard Jorge Fernandes 83'