Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.37% ( 0.13) | 28.26% ( 0.03) | 42.37% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.64% ( -0.05) | 60.36% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.49% ( -0.03) | 80.51% ( 0.04) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( 0.07) | 36.63% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% ( 0.07) | 73.42% ( -0.07) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( -0.1) | 28.17% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.15% ( -0.13) | 63.85% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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