/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrulog.png)
-
Rafa Silva
38'
-
Goncalo Ramos
45'+2'
-
Goncalo Ramos
57'
-
Joao Mario
71'
-
David Neres
77'
-
Bjorn Meijer
87'
Benfica vs Club Brugge - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Frafa-silva.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fjoao-mario-rafa-silva.jpg)
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fscott-parker.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
73.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
15.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Club Brugge
10.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.93%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
33.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
44.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
55.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
92.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
7.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
71.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
28.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5
58.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
41.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
22.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
77.93%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Benfica
73.18%
Draw
15.9%
Club Brugge
10.92%
Benfica
2-0
@
10.55%
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.85%
4-0 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.19%
6-0 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 73.18%
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.85%
4-0 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.19%
6-0 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 73.18%
Draw
1-1
@
7.34%
2-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.9%
2-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.9%
Club Brugge
1-2
@
3.24%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 10.92%
0-1 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 10.92%
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F06%2Fbenfica.jpg)