Benfica

5 - 1

Brugge

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.